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hzink
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Quote: from which doctor on 1:44 am on Feb. 2, 2004
Of the 10 cases identified in Viet Nam, 8 have died. that's a pretty hefty mortality rate.
Bear in mind that influenza is far harsher on the very young and the very old, and most of the mortality comes from that demographic. That's just NORMAL influenza.
Unless we know more details about the ages and consitutions of the victims, the numbers mean little.
I do agree that if the disease jumps the shark, and we have human-to-human transmission, we are looking at a different scenario - do bear in mind, though, that human transmission is easier to control, than animal transmission in the wild (migratory birds) - but quarantine will be interesting, at least.
Harry
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Thai Girls : Meet Sexy Thai Girls
Posted on: 1:06 pm on Feb. 1, 2004
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Ballsburstin
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It's got some of the locals spooked too. My TGF was plainning on hitting Chatuchak market Sunday, but her friends all bugged out on her. They were worried about the high concentration of chicken food vendors there and the proximity of so many people. I got an earfull of this on the phone, as it screwed up her day and she sat at home watching the paint peel on her apartment walls instead (translates to: "teelakja, why you not come Bangkok now? I lonely..." ).
- Balls
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Bangkok Women : Meet Sensual Bangkok Women
Posted on: 2:21 pm on Feb. 1, 2004
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Ronnie Raygun
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I keep searching for WHO websites but all I get are Roger Daltrey links. Who's Next.
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Thai Girls : Meet Sexy Thai Girls
Posted on: 2:31 pm on Feb. 1, 2004
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Basil Bush
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Quote: from Ronnie Reagan on 8:31 pm on Feb. 1, 2004
I keep searching for WHO websites but all I get are Roger Daltrey links. Who's Next.
try; http://www.who.int/en/ 
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Bangkok Girls : Meet Sexy Bangkok Girls
Posted on: 4:04 pm on Feb. 1, 2004
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which doctor
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True. the numbers are not adjusted for age, and there are host factors that are not known. I don't know what sort of mortality rate you would expect, and I hope there will not be enough data to give a good estimate. Hong Kong saw an outbreak in 1997 with a crude mortality rate of about 33%, (6/18) still pretty bad. Most concerning, however, is the tendency of type A influenza viruses, of which avian flu is one, to mutate and be able to genetically recombine with other viruses that infect reservoirs such as pigs, and chickens. Sort of a genetic mix and match. If, among the present cases, the mode of transmission is determined to have been human to human (the last two deaths in Vietnam are still being studied), or if you start seeing cases spread among humans, then it means the virus has mutated itself in a very nasty way. Humans, because this is a virus that their immune systems don't normally 'see', would be an especially vulnerable population, at least in theory. The good news is that this virus has probably been present in chicken populations in Asia for at least 8 months or so, with so far little bird to human transmission even though there have probably been hundreds or even thousands of exposures. If this is true, then it means that the virus has not been very successful at making the jump to humans. Lets hope it stays that way.
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Thai Women : Meet Matured Thai Women
Posted on: 4:14 pm on Feb. 1, 2004
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Hermanolobo
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From Stickman's weekly:-
On the ground, many folks have been steering clear of chicken and eggs. Schools have taken chicken off the menu and at least one restaurant in a 5 star hotel has taken all chicken dishes off the menu. Even a somewhat modest streetside Isaan food restaurant where I ate during the week had taken chicken off the menu. Asking the waiter about the availability of chicken he replied, "you mean you are not scared? No-one else wants anything to do with chicken at the moment"!
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Bangkok Women : Meet Beautiful Thai Girls
Posted on: 4:48 am on Feb. 2, 2004
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Whisper
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I live in Phuket and a guy who lived across the road from me died last week from the chicken 'flu.
Quite a shame, really. because he used to give such lovely eggs.
By the way, 'flu is short for "influenza" which (I believe) is Spanish for being under the influence of evil spirits. They used to think that when someone had the 'flu.
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Bangkok Girls : Meet Attractive Thai Girls
Posted on: 4:56 am on Feb. 2, 2004
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hayashi
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Why worry about chicken flu what ever you do in life theres always a risk involved more chance of catching something nasty on the plane 12 hrs of recycled air or Dvt,lets just forget about the flu and enjoy life to the full 16 days to go and I will be in Bkk can't wait to hit the bars.
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Thai Women : Meet Matured Thai Women
Posted on: 10:29 am on Feb. 2, 2004
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power24
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Really whisper?..because the world press arent reporting that death at the moment? How many more people have died from the flu which arent being reported by the world press?
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Bangkok Girls : Meet Attractive Thai Girls
Posted on: 10:49 am on Feb. 2, 2004
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